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synced Nov 7, 2026

data · Kalshi + Polymarket

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Perplexity

Perplexity IPO Announcement

When Perplexity officially announces an IPO.

shape threshold
coverage 57%
updated Nov 7, 2026

80% credible interval

median estimate
Oct 24, 2028
in ~24 mo
earliest
Jan 1, 2028
latest
later →
confidence80%
50%95%

Spans the 10th–90th percentile of the distribution — higher confidence widens the range, pulling the earliest date back and the latest date forward.

cumulative probability

The market doesn't yet price enough probability to resolve the upper bound at this confidence — the latest date is open-ended.

forecast history


underlying markets


strikedateP(yes)open int.
Before Jan 1, 2028Jan 1, 202815%68Kalshi ↗
Before Jul 1, 2028Jul 1, 202838%108Kalshi ↗
Before Jan 1, 2029Jan 1, 202957%1.2kKalshi ↗