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OpenAI
OpenAI Astra 6.1
When OpenAI releases Astra 6.1 specifically.
shape threshold
coverage 93%
updated Nov 7, 2026
80% credible interval
median estimate
Nov 13, 2026
in ~5 d
earliest
Nov 13, 2026
latest
Dec 28, 2026
confidence80%
50%95%
Spans the 10th–90th percentile of the distribution — higher confidence widens the range, pulling the earliest date back and the latest date forward.
cumulative probability of release
forecast history
underlying markets