WTMD

synced Nov 7, 2026

data · Kalshi + Polymarket

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NVIDIA

NVIDIA Vera Rubin

When NVIDIA releases its Vera Rubin AI platform.

shape threshold
coverage 85%
updated Nov 7, 2026

80% credible interval

median estimate
Dec 1, 2026
in ~3 wk
earliest
Dec 1, 2026
latest
later →
confidence80%
50%95%

Spans the 10th–90th percentile of the distribution — higher confidence widens the range, pulling the earliest date back and the latest date forward.

cumulative probability

The market doesn't yet price enough probability to resolve the upper bound at this confidence — the latest date is open-ended.

forecast history


underlying markets


strikedateP(yes)open int.
Before Dec 2026Dec 1, 202681%205Kalshi ↗
Before Jan 2027Jan 1, 202785%—Kalshi ↗