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Anthropic
Anthropic IPO Announcement
When Anthropic officially announces an IPO.
shape threshold
coverage 90%
updated Sep 23, 2026
80% credible interval
median estimate
Nov 27, 2026
in ~9 wk
earliest
Nov 3, 2026
latest
Apr 1, 2027
confidence80%
50%95%
Spans the 10th–90th percentile of the distribution — higher confidence widens the range, pulling the earliest date back and the latest date forward.
cumulative probability of release
forecast history
underlying markets
| strike | date | P(yes) | open int. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Before Oct 1, 2026 | Oct 1, 2026 | 1% | 375.2k | Kalshi ↗ |
| Before Oct 10, 2026 | Oct 10, 2026 | 1% | 13.8k | Kalshi ↗ |
| Before Oct 17, 2026 | Oct 17, 2026 | 2% | 28.1k | Kalshi ↗ |
| Before Oct 24, 2026 | Oct 24, 2026 | 3% | 13.2k | Kalshi ↗ |
| Before Nov 1, 2026 | Nov 1, 2026 | 8% | 93.0k | Kalshi ↗ |
| Before Dec 1, 2026 | Dec 1, 2026 | 56% | 68.6k | Kalshi ↗ |
| Before Jan 1, 2027 | Jan 1, 2027 | 78% | 40.6k | Kalshi ↗ |
| Before Feb 1, 2027 | Feb 1, 2027 | 84% | 6.0k | Kalshi ↗ |
| Before Mar 1, 2027 | Mar 1, 2027 | 88% | 5.2k | Kalshi ↗ |
| Before Apr 1, 2027 | Apr 1, 2027 | 90% | 9.2k | Kalshi ↗ |