Anthropic

Anthropic IPO Announcement

When Anthropic officially announces an IPO.

shape threshold

coverage 94%

updated Nov 7, 2026

80% credible interval

median estimate

Nov 25, 2026

in ~2 wk

earliest

Nov 16, 2026

latest

Jan 9, 2027

confidence80%

50%95%

Spans the 10th–90th percentile of the distribution — higher confidence widens the range, pulling the earliest date back and the latest date forward.

cumulative probability

forecast history

underlying markets

strike	date	P(yes)	open int.
Before Nov 16, 2026	Nov 16, 2026	10%	234.1k	Kalshi ↗
Before Dec 1, 2026	Dec 1, 2026	79%	165.1k	Kalshi ↗
Before Jan 1, 2027	Jan 1, 2027	90%	170.5k	Kalshi ↗
Before Feb 1, 2027	Feb 1, 2027	92%	22.9k	Kalshi ↗
Before Mar 1, 2027	Mar 1, 2027	94%	16.7k	Kalshi ↗
Before Apr 1, 2027	Apr 1, 2027	94%	20.8k	Kalshi ↗