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synced Jun 22, 2026

data · Kalshi

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Anthropic

Anthropic IPO

When Anthropic officially announces an IPO.

shape threshold
coverage 96%
updated Jun 22, 2026

80% credible interval

median estimate
Sep 25, 2026
in ~3 mo
earliest
Aug 18, 2026
latest
Dec 24, 2026
confidence80%
50%95%

Spans the 10th–90th percentile of the distribution — higher confidence widens the range, pulling the earliest date back and the latest date forward.

cumulative probability of release

forecast history

History builds after a few daily polls — check back to see how the estimate moves.

underlying markets

strikedateP(yes)open int.
Before Jul 1, 2026Jul 1, 20261%172.6kKalshi ↗
Before Aug 1, 2026Aug 1, 20263%96.6kKalshi ↗
Before Sep 1, 2026Sep 1, 202616%47.8kKalshi ↗
Before Oct 1, 2026Oct 1, 202657%31.2kKalshi ↗
Before Nov 1, 2026Nov 1, 202679%7.4kKalshi ↗
Before Dec 1, 2026Dec 1, 202687%2.8kKalshi ↗
Before Jan 1, 2027Jan 1, 202791%4.6kKalshi ↗
Before Feb 1, 2027Feb 1, 202792%201Kalshi ↗
Before Mar 1, 2027Mar 1, 202796%544Kalshi ↗
Before Apr 1, 2027Apr 1, 202795%323Kalshi ↗