Industry

AI Data Center in Space

When an AI data center operates in space.

shape threshold

coverage 17%

updated Nov 7, 2026

80% credible interval

median estimate

—

earliest

Jul 27, 2027

latest

later →

confidence80%

50%95%

Spans the 10th–90th percentile of the distribution — higher confidence widens the range, pulling the earliest date back and the latest date forward.

cumulative probability

The market doesn't yet price enough probability to resolve the upper bound at this confidence — the latest date is open-ended.

forecast history

underlying markets

strike	date	P(yes)	open int.
By December 31, 2026	Dec 31, 2026	1%	32.6k	Polymarket ↗
By December 31, 2027	Dec 31, 2027	17%	46.8k	Polymarket ↗