← the board
Industry
Artificial Analysis Index > 65
When any AI model scores above 65 on the Artificial Analysis Intelligence Index.
shape threshold
coverage 80%
updated Nov 7, 2026
80% credible interval
median estimate
Jan 28, 2027
in ~3 mo
earliest
Dec 1, 2026
latest
later →
confidence80%
50%95%
Spans the 10th–90th percentile of the distribution — higher confidence widens the range, pulling the earliest date back and the latest date forward.
cumulative probability
The market doesn't yet price enough probability to resolve the upper bound at this confidence — the latest date is open-ended.
forecast history
underlying markets